Conf = American State = TN
Nickname = Commodores Coach = Beth HewittGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 88.4810486 home-field advantage = -0.90 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 217 H Central Michigan MAC ( 5-13, 82.6) 19- 4 221 A Butler Big East ( 2-14, 82.2) 17-16 224 A Stanford Pac-12 (13- 5, 96.1) 5-18 302 H Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun ( 5-11, 82.2) 16-15 306 A Johns Hopkins Big Ten (12- 8, 95.8) 3-21 310 H Arizona State Pac-12 ( 9-10, 90.9) 13-11 313 H Mercer Big South (14- 6, 89.2) 13- 9 316 A Temple American ( 9- 7, 90.7) 8-10 320 A Xavier Big East ( 4-11, 80.3) 19- 6 330 H Florida American (20- 3, 98.4) 5-20 403 A Penn State Big Ten (11- 8, 94.0) 11-12 406 A Old Dominion American ( 3-13, 83.8) 9- 5 410 H Coastal Carolina Atlantic Sun (14- 6, 89.0) 8-10 413 H East Carolina American ( 4-12, 86.3) 14-13 420 A James Madison American (13- 7, 93.8) 8-17 427 H Cincinnati American (10- 7, 87.5) 14- 9 502 H Florida American (20- 3, 98.4) 8-17
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 H Central Michigan 19- 4 15 6 0.09 221 A Butler 17-16 1 5 -- -4.51 224 A Stanford 5-18 -13 -8 0.00 302 H Kennesaw State 16-15 1 7 --- -6.00 306 A Johns Hopkins 3-21 -18 -8 0.00 310 H Arizona State 13-11 2 -1 + 3.38 313 H Mercer 13- 9 4 0 + 3.66 316 A Temple 8-10 -2 -3 1.01 320 A Xavier 19- 6 13 7 0.00 330 H Florida 5-20 -15 -8 0.00 403 A Penn State 11-12 -1 -6 ++ 5.31 406 A Old Dominion 9- 5 4 3 0.08 410 H Coastal Carolina 8-10 -2 0 - -2.51 413 H East Carolina 14-13 1 3 - -2.20 420 A James Madison 8-17 -9 -6 -0.93 427 H Cincinnati 14- 9 5 2 + 2.96 502 H Florida 8-17 -9 -8 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 H Kennesaw State 16-15 1 7 --- -6.00 221 A Butler 17-16 1 5 -- -4.51 410 H Coastal Carolina 8-10 -2 0 - -2.51 413 H East Carolina 14-13 1 3 - -2.20OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 403 A Penn State 11-12 -1 -6 ++ 5.31 310 H Arizona State 13-11 2 -1 + 3.38 313 H Mercer 13- 9 4 0 + 3.66 427 H Cincinnati 14- 9 5 2 + 2.96
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 88.62 Power Rank................. 53 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 76.37 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 43 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6381 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 36 RPI Rating............... .5206 RPI Rank................... 52 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 122 Selection sum ........... 142 Selection Rank ............ 44 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -95. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 55 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -95. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 54 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 11.2 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 12.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 5.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.3